diff --git a/docs/full-network-experiment-2026-07.md b/docs/full-network-experiment-2026-07.md index 52a211b..cd36e57 100644 --- a/docs/full-network-experiment-2026-07.md +++ b/docs/full-network-experiment-2026-07.md @@ -620,6 +620,40 @@ lexicons, captured without being enumerated in advance. Checked on one sealed segment, not all 4,818. +### CORRECTION: the denominator below is wrong — it is a different relay's database + +Everything in the next section, and every percentage reported during 2026-07-30, +used **5,716,765** from the indigo relay at `relay.waow.tech`. **Stream does not +crawl that relay.** The deployed command line is +`--relay-url=https://bsky.network`, and bsky.network's own +`com.atproto.sync.listHosts` — which returns `accountCount` per host — gives: + +| | hosts | accounts | +|---|---|---| +| **bsky.network** (what Stream crawls) | **5,742** | **22,845,221** (22,658,063 on active hosts) | +| indigo `relay.waow.tech` (what was used) | 2,551 | 5,716,765 | + +indigo tracks **44% of the hosts**. Using its count as "the network" understated +the target by roughly 4x. + +This also means the feasibility investigation was right and was overridden. It +estimated **~19.4M**, correcting a raw **22.7M** for accounts without crawlable +repos — and the raw sum measured directly today is 22.85M, matching. The number +that was days old and derived from the correct relay was discarded in favour of +one pulled from the wrong relay and never reconciled. + +**Corrected position at hour 59.5:** 3,675,382 complete is **16–19%**, not the +63.6% reported all day. Remaining is 15.7–19.2M repos, which at the observed +48 repos/s is **91–111 hours more** — against a 120-hour envelope with 60 hours +left. Bootstrap does not finish in this envelope. Even assuming the rate doubles +to 100/s as repositories shrink, it lands at 103–113 h for bootstrap alone, +before merge and cutover. + +**The method failure worth keeping:** the right denominator was one command away +(`docker inspect` the running container for `--relay-url`) for the entire run. +The wrong one was never checked against the project's own prior work, which +disagreed by 3.4x and was sitting in this same file. + ### What the 5,716,765 denominator does and does not mean Progress is quoted against ~5,716,765 repositories, taken from the indigo