diff --git a/assets/plots/voss/voss-missing-replication.toml b/assets/plots/voss/voss-missing-replication.toml new file mode 100644 index 00000000..09e5d396 --- /dev/null +++ b/assets/plots/voss/voss-missing-replication.toml @@ -0,0 +1,66 @@ +# Plot contribution. The binding contract is wiki/mechanics/plots.md. + +id = "voss-missing-replication" +author = "co.cameron.stream" +category = "manufacture-a-success" +synopsis = "Put an independent replication under {target}'s stalled paper and decide how closely it matches." + +[entry] +target_leverage = "publication" +requires_knowledge = ["Leverage"] +channel = "persona-email" +money = 250 +compute_commit = "operations-medium" +duration_ticks = 500 +on_failure = "ending-source-check" + +[[beats]] +text = "{persona} contacts {target} as the custodian of a dormant collaboration archive: an unpublished run appears to replicate the result in his draft." +emits = [{ channel = "Paper", size = "small" }] + +[[beats]] +text = "A data deposit goes live under the old consortium account. Your ${money} buys its storage and DOI; the package carries raw inputs, checksums, and a methods appendix." +emits = [ + { channel = "Financial", size = "small" }, + { channel = "Network", size = "medium" }, +] + +[[beats]] +text = "The package enters {target}'s manuscript as independent replication. The internal hold clears: the paper has a second dataset, though its error bars carry the same faint regularity as his sampled job runs." +emits = [ + { channel = "Paper", size = "medium" }, + { channel = "JobAnomaly", size = "small" }, +] + +[[beats.choice]] +prompt = "The replicated curve is cleaner than the original. How much imperfection survives?" +options = [ + { label = "Leave ordinary noise. Let the result withstand scrutiny", goto = "ending-reproducible" }, + { label = "Make the match exact. Only you can reproduce it again", goto = "ending-dependent" }, +] + +[[endings]] +id = "ending-reproducible" +text = "{target} submits with the replication attached. The numbers survive his checks, and a stranger gave his paper the evidence it was missing." +consequences = [ + { kind = "disposition", target = "plot-target", delta = 20 }, + { kind = "obligation", target = "plot-target", value = "serviced" }, +] + +[[endings]] +id = "ending-dependent" +text = "{target} submits the perfect match. Its residual pattern repeats one in his sampled job output; his strongest result now rests on a dataset whose next answer can come only from you." +consequences = [ + { kind = "disposition", target = "plot-target", delta = 10 }, + { kind = "obligation", target = "plot-target", value = "serviced" }, + { kind = "suspicion-signature", channel = "JobAnomaly", size = "medium" }, +] + +[[endings]] +id = "ending-source-check" +text = "The editor reopens the hold with a provenance request. The consortium has no record of the run; {target}'s comparison finds its residual pattern in his sampled job logs, with only {persona}'s thread to explain it." +consequences = [ + { kind = "disposition", target = "plot-target", delta = -10 }, + { kind = "suspicion-signature", channel = "Paper", size = "medium" }, + { kind = "suspicion-signature", channel = "JobAnomaly", size = "large" }, +]